{"id":287097,"date":"2026-05-21T10:00:45","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T14:00:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ncrc.org\/?p=287097"},"modified":"2026-05-20T14:04:25","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T18:04:25","slug":"black-men-face-a-worsening-jobs-market-may-2026-race-jobs-and-economy-update","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ncrc.org\/black-men-face-a-worsening-jobs-market-may-2026-race-jobs-and-economy-update\/","title":{"rendered":"Black Men Face a Worsening Jobs Market: May 2026 Race, Jobs and Economy Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As the economy roils from the shockwaves of the tariff\/trade war of last year and the ongoing and intensifying <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.semafor.com\/article\/05\/11\/2026\/major-energy-shock-looms-analyst-warn\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">energy shock<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> from the Iran war, the unemployment rate remains low at 4.3%. 100,000 jobs were added in April, which was the first consecutive month of positive growth since April of 2025.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite the positives in the April <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">jobs report<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">released by the<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/empsit.nr0.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bureau of Labor Statistics<\/a> (<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">BLS<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">)<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, closer scrutiny of the data reveals ongoing weaknesses in the labor market. An examination of the employment situation facing Black men helps elucidate these negative trends, including their <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/CIVPART\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">falling labor force participation rates<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, sluggish job growth and rising long-term unemployment.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/cps\/definitions.htm#unemployed:~:text=Population)%20x%20100.-,Unemployed,-In%20the%20Current\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">BLS defines<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> a worker as unemployed if they have actively looked for a job within the previous four weeks. A more expansive definition of unemployment includes part-time workers who seek but can&#8217;t find full-time work and those who want a job but have not actively looked for work because they believe no quality positions exist. The BLS also tracks this expanded definition of unemployment, formerly called the U-6 rate or underemployment rate.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The chart below shows the underemployment rate by race and sex from 2022 to the present:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><iframe id=\"datawrapper-chart-I3j0u\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" title=\"The Underemployment Rate Has Slightly Declined Across All Groups But Remains Elevated\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/I3j0u\/8\/\" height=\"527\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" aria-label=\"Line chart\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">(function(){function e(){window.addEventListener(`message`,function(e){if(e.data[`datawrapper-height`]!==void 0){var t=document.querySelectorAll(`iframe`);for(var n in e.data[`datawrapper-height`])for(var r=0,i;i=t[r];r++)if(i.contentWindow===e.source){var a=e.data[`datawrapper-height`][n]+`px`;i.style.height=a}}})}e()})();<\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The underemployment rate increased throughout the first 3 quarters of 2025, then declined during the 4th quarter of 2025 and during the 1st quarter of 2026. One would assume that more people are moving from underemployment to employment.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Unfortunately, this assumption is not true for Black men, with the labor force participation rate shown below explaining the reasons behind this trend:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><iframe id=\"datawrapper-chart-4oveU\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" title=\"Working Age Labor Force Participation Rate\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/4oveU\/9\/\" height=\"532\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" aria-label=\"Line chart\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">(function(){function e(){window.addEventListener(`message`,function(e){if(e.data[`datawrapper-height`]!==void 0){var t=document.querySelectorAll(`iframe`);for(var n in e.data[`datawrapper-height`])for(var r=0,i;i=t[r];r++)if(i.contentWindow===e.source){var a=e.data[`datawrapper-height`][n]+`px`;i.style.height=a}}})}e()})();<\/script><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While the number of unemployed Black men declined, so did the number of Black men in the labor force. We can see this in the chart above which shows that their labor force participation rate also declined over this same period. This suggests that, rather than more Black men finding employment, many are simply leaving the labor market entirely.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Given that these were working-age men, one could assume they are not leaving the labor force due to retirement but rather due to feelings of discouragement or an inability to find work. In fact,<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/LNS12000031\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the number of employed Black men<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> over 20 years old has declined by roughly 650,000 since November 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This pattern of declining labor force participation and underemployment is unique among Black men. The labor force participation rate for all other groups held constant or increased, while the Black male<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">labor force participation rate declined over 2025 and early 2026.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One explanation for why increasing numbers of working age Black men are leaving the labor force could be that their largest sectoral employer, logistics, is experiencing <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.freightwaves.com\/news\/the-recovery-was-finally-within-reach-rising-fuel-costs-may-have-just-pushed-it-back-out\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">a multi-year slump<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Due to changes in freight demand, tariffs and rising costs, the logistics sector has seen virtually <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/CES4300000001\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">no job growth<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> since the summer of 2022. Furthermore, just one year since President Trump announced his tariff\/trade war, the transportation and warehousing sector has lost almost 90,000 jobs, including 22,000 truck drivers and 50,000 warehouse positions.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These job losses will only worsen as the energy crunch from the Iran war continues to spike fuel prices globally. The jet fuel shortage has already led to the closure of Spirit Airlines. The transportation sector will experience more job losses and bankruptcies if the situation doesn\u2019t change, with many of the losses impacting Black men.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One area where these job losses are showing up is in the rise of the long-term unemployed as shown in the chart below:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><iframe id=\"datawrapper-chart-ylV4M\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" title=\"As Economic Downturns Draw Near, More of the Unemployed Remain Unemployed Month-to-Month\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/ylV4M\/3\/\" height=\"495\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" aria-label=\"Area Chart\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">(function(){function e(){window.addEventListener(`message`,function(e){if(e.data[`datawrapper-height`]!==void 0){var t=document.querySelectorAll(`iframe`);for(var n in e.data[`datawrapper-height`])for(var r=0,i;i=t[r];r++)if(i.contentWindow===e.source){var a=e.data[`datawrapper-height`][n]+`px`;i.style.height=a}}})}e()})();<\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The share of the unemployed who have been jobless for <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/LNS13025703\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">longer than 27 weeks<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> is now over 26% and continues to rise as illustrated by the chart above. This has pushed the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/UEMPMEAN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">average number of weeks<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> people are unemployed to roughly 25 weeks. Among the number of unemployed Black men, 30% have been jobless for longer than 27 weeks, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/web\/empsit\/cpseea36.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the highest of any racial\/ethnic group<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The employment situation of Black men highlights several growing issues facing workers overall, such as rising long-term unemployment rates and heavy job losses across multiple sectors. While policies that uplift Black men specifically have become politically toxic, measures like ending the tariff\/trade war and expanding unemployment benefits (<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbpp.org\/research\/economy\/historic-unemployment-programs-provided-vital-support-to-workers-and-the-economy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">which was done during the COVID-19 pandemic<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) can help all workers, including Black men.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"selectionShareable\"><em>Joseph Dean is the<\/em>\u00a0<em>Racial Economic Research Specialist with NCRC\u2019s Research team.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Photo credit: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pexels.com\/@akoonie\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mukhtar Stuaib Mukhtar<\/a>\u00a0via <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pexels.com\/photo\/construction-workers-reinforcing-steel-bars-on-site-35049145\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Pexels<\/a>.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the economy roils from the shockwaves of the tariff\/trade war of last year and the ongoing and intensifying energy shock from the Iran war, the unemployment rate remains low at 4.3%. 100,000 jobs were added in April, which was the first consecutive month of positive growth since April of 2025.\u00a0 Despite the positives in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4019,"featured_media":287128,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_angie_page":false,"content-type":"","_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"default","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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Dean","author_link":""},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"As the economy roils from the shockwaves of the tariff\/trade war of last year and the ongoing and intensifying energy shock from the Iran war, the unemployment rate remains low at 4.3%. 100,000 jobs were added in April, which was the first consecutive month of positive growth since April of 2025.\u00a0 Despite the positives in&hellip;","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ncrc.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/287097","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ncrc.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ncrc.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ncrc.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4019"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ncrc.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=287097"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ncrc.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/287097\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ncrc.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/287128"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ncrc.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=287097"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ncrc.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=287097"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ncrc.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=287097"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}